COULD THE EARTH’S MINERALS BE USED UP?

Although there are enormous reserves of iron and aluminium in the Earth’s crust, other metals, such as tin, lead, silver, zinc, mercury and platinum are not so plentiful. Some further sources of such metals are known, but at present it would prove too expensive to reach them. As with other non-renewable resources, it is important that we recycle metals or use other materials where possible.

Minerals make up most of what we use to build, manufacture and stand on — including rocks and soil — so if we really ran out of minerals, we’d all be scrambling for a spot on the planet’s shrunken surface areas.

But if you were worried about running out of a single mineral important for industry, then you probably can breathe easy. Most of the minerals we use a lot are very abundant. Iron, for example, makes up about 32 percent of Earth’s crust, so you’d have to worry about finding a place to stand long before worrying about whether we can keep making steel.

But if we were to run out of a mineral — as in, exhaust our supply — it probably wouldn’t be because there’s none of it left on Earth. The problem would be that the processes used to extract it have become too expensive, difficult or harmful to make mining worthwhile. Even then, as mining technology advances, previously inaccessible minerals will become available and lower-producing ores will be processed more efficiently.

But still, what are we working with here? What are minerals? How big is our planet’s supply?

Minerals are substances formed naturally underground — think coal, quartz, salt. Like everything else, they’re made of elements, basic substances that can’t be broken down into simpler substances. Some minerals are single elements, like gold. When we’re assessing amounts of minerals in the world, it’s more complicated than there being a finite amount of resources that we’re using up over time. World mineral reserves are constantly revised based on estimated consumption and current production abilities. For example, in 1950, the estimated copper reserves totaled 100 million metric tons. Over the next 50 years, world copper producers extracted 339 million tons — by 1950 standards we should have run out of copper three times over. For most minerals, supplies have actually increased during the 20th century even though we’re using them up faster than ever.

So it’s unlikely that Earth will ever run out of minerals. But will people ever experience mineral shortages?

In a sense we’re always facing mineral shortages. Shortfalls and reduced production stimulate new mines, new technological innovations and lower standards for what counts as high-quality ore. We’re also using a wider array of minerals. More than 60 different elements can be used to build a single computer chip. A lot of these are minerals that never had industrial applications until 20 or 30 years ago, and they’re produced in such small quantities that they’re much more susceptible to supply risks.

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